After years of sending drones and commandos into Pakistan, Defense Secretary Leon Panetta last week finally admitted the obvious: The US is 'fighting a war' there. But American robots and special forces aren't just targeting militants in Pakistan. They're doing the same ' with increasing frequency and increasing lethality ' in Yemen. The latest drone attack happened early Wednesday in the Yemeni town of Azzan, killing nine people. It's the 23rd strike in Yemen so far this year, according to the Long War Journal. In Pakistan, there have been only 22.
Surely, if America is at war in Pakistan, it's at war in Yemen, too. And it's time for the Obama administration to admit it.
For all the handwringing about the undeclared, drone-led war in Pakistan, it's quietly been eclipsed. Yemen is the real center of the America's shadow wars in 2012. After the US killed al-Qaida second in command Abu Yahya al-Libi earlier this month, Pakistan is actually running out of significant terrorists to strike. Yemen, by contrast, is a target-rich environment ' and that's why the drones are busier there these days.
The White House has declared al-Qaida's affiliate in Yemen is to be the biggest terror threat to Americans today. The campaign to neutralize that threat is far-reaching ' involving commandos, cruise missiles, and, of course, drone aircraft. It is also, according to some experts on the region, completely backfiring. Since the US ramped up its operations in Yemen in 2009, the ranks of al-Qaida in the Arabian Peninsula, or AQAP, have swelled from 300 fighters to more than 1,000.
The congressional foreign relations committees have had some briefings on the military and intelligence efforts in Yemen, Danger Room is told. But there's been scant discussion in public of the campaign's goals, or a way for measuring whether those goals have been reached. Outside of the classified arena, there's little sense of what our Yemen operations cost, nor of what the costs would be if they were discontinued. It's an odd situation, notes Micah Zenko, a fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, since 'it's accurate to say we are 'at war in Yemen.''
'What should be accompanied with any (even unofficial) declaration of war is a clearly articulated strategy of what America's strategic objectives in that country are, a cogent strategy for how current US policies will lead to that outcome, how US airstrikes are coordinated with other elements of power, and how much it might cost and when we might expect that to occur,' Zenko tells Danger Room. 'Unfortunately, none of that has happened.'
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